WM 2026 Prognose & Chancen

WM 2026 — Prognose & Chancen

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WM 2026

Details: Zuletzt aktualisiert: 03.04.2026 03.04.2026

Qualifiziert Dritter Platz (potenziell qualifiziert)

#	Heim	Ergebnis / Prognose	Gast
ZR01	South Africa	–	Bosnia and Herzegovina
ZR02	Germany	–	Best.3. (1)
ZR03	Netherlands	–	Morocco
ZR04	Brazil	–	Japan
ZR05	France	–	Best.3. (2)
ZR06	Curaçao	–	Senegal
ZR07	Mexico	–	Best.3. (3)
ZR08	England	–	Best.3. (4)
ZR09	USA	–	Best.3. (5)
ZR10	Iran	–	Best.3. (6)
ZR11	DR Congo	–	Croatia
ZR12	Spain	–	Algeria
ZR13	Canada	–	Best.3. (7)
ZR14	Argentina	–	Cape Verde
ZR15	Portugal	–	Best.3. (8)
ZR16	Paraguay	–	New Zealand

#	Heim	Ergebnis / Prognose	Gast
AF1	Sieger ZR 02	–	Sieger ZR 05
AF2	Sieger ZR 01	–	Sieger ZR 03
AF3	Sieger ZR 04	–	Sieger ZR 06
AF4	Sieger ZR 07	–	Sieger ZR 08
AF5	Sieger ZR 11	–	Sieger ZR 12
AF6	Sieger ZR 09	–	Sieger ZR 10
AF7	Sieger ZR 14	–	Sieger ZR 16
AF8	Sieger ZR 13	–	Sieger ZR 15

#	Heim	Ergebnis / Prognose	Gast
VF1	Sieger AF 1	–	Sieger AF 2
VF2	Sieger AF 5	–	Sieger AF 6
VF3	Sieger AF 3	–	Sieger AF 4
VF4	Sieger AF 7	–	Sieger AF 8

#	Heim	Ergebnis / Prognose	Gast
HF1	Sieger VF 1	–	Sieger VF 2
HF2	Sieger VF 3	–	Sieger VF 4

#	Heim	Ergebnis / Prognose	Gast
KF1	Verlierer HF 1	–	Verlierer HF 2

#	Heim	Ergebnis / Prognose	Gast
FI1	Sieger HF 1	–	Sieger HF 2

Auf Basis von 100,000 Simulationen

Pl.	Team	1.	2.	3.	ZR	AF	VF	Finale	WM
1	Spain	83%	17%	1%	85%	69%	60%	42%	27%
2	Argentina	83%	14%	3%	74%	67%	48%	33%	19%
3	France	64%	25%	10%	85%	61%	43%	23%	13%
4	England	59%	31%	9%	77%	52%	31%	15%	7%
5	Portugal	48%	40%	12%	69%	38%	18%	10%	4%
6	Brazil	64%	25%	10%	62%	38%	21%	9%	4%
7	Colombia	46%	41%	12%	67%	36%	17%	9%	4%
8	Netherlands	53%	31%	12%	58%	40%	19%	8%	3%
9	Croatia	34%	45%	18%	57%	29%	15%	6%	2%
10	Ecuador	51%	45%	3%	67%	28%	15%	6%	2%
11	Germany	48%	48%	4%	64%	26%	14%	5%	2%
12	Norway	20%	38%	34%	52%	27%	12%	5%	2%
13	Japan	36%	39%	19%	46%	28%	11%	4%	2%
14	Uruguay	17%	71%	11%	31%	19%	9%	4%	1%
15	Switzerland	47%	32%	20%	61%	25%	8%	3%	1%
16	Senegal	16%	33%	40%	45%	22%	9%	3%	1%
17	Belgium	68%	22%	7%	62%	31%	7%	3%	1%
18	Mexico	65%	26%	7%	62%	21%	8%	2%	1%
19	Paraguay	37%	28%	21%	53%	20%	5%	2%
20	Morocco	21%	39%	31%	30%	13%	4%	1%
21	Bosnia and Herzegovina	30%	34%	32%	47%	15%	4%	1%
22	Austria	11%	42%	29%	18%	9%	3%	1%
23	Australia	26%	26%	25%	41%	13%	3%	1%
24	Canada	23%	32%	39%	39%	11%	3%	1%
25	Turkey	22%	25%	27%	37%	11%	2%	1%
26	Scotland	14%	31%	41%	21%	8%	2%	1%
27	USA	15%	21%	27%	27%	7%	1%
28	Panama	7%	21%	55%	16%	5%	1%
29	Czech Republic	27%	45%	19%	33%	7%	2%
30	Algeria	4%	26%	36%	10%	3%	1%
31	Sweden	8%	19%	40%	14%	5%	1%
32	Uzbekistan	6%	18%	59%	16%	3%	1%
33	Egypt	21%	40%	26%	28%	6%	1%
34	Jordan	2%	18%	31%	6%	2%
35	Tunisia	3%	11%	29%	5%	1%
36	New Zealand	8%	24%	37%	12%	2%
37	Iraq		4%	16%	3%	1%
38	Saudi Arabia		9%	52%	4%	1%
39	Haiti	1%	5%	18%	1%
40	Iran	3%	13%	29%	4%
41	Curaçao		4%	47%	2%
42	South Africa	4%	16%	39%	4%
43	South Korea	3%	13%	35%	3%
44	Cape Verde		4%	37%	2%
45	Ivory Coast		4%	46%	2%
46	Ghana		2%	17%
47	DR Congo		2%	18%	1%
48	Qatar		1%	9%

1. Spain

1. 83% 2. 17% 3. 1% ZR 85% AF 69% VF 60% Finale 42% WM 27%

2. Argentina

1. 83% 2. 14% 3. 3% ZR 74% AF 67% VF 48% Finale 33% WM 19%

3. France

1. 64% 2. 25% 3. 10% ZR 85% AF 61% VF 43% Finale 23% WM 13%

4. England

1. 59% 2. 31% 3. 9% ZR 77% AF 52% VF 31% Finale 15% WM 7%

5. Portugal

1. 48% 2. 40% 3. 12% ZR 69% AF 38% VF 18% Finale 10% WM 4%

6. Brazil

1. 64% 2. 25% 3. 10% ZR 62% AF 38% VF 21% Finale 9% WM 4%

7. Colombia

1. 46% 2. 41% 3. 12% ZR 67% AF 36% VF 17% Finale 9% WM 4%

8. Netherlands

1. 53% 2. 31% 3. 12% ZR 58% AF 40% VF 19% Finale 8% WM 3%

9. Croatia

1. 34% 2. 45% 3. 18% ZR 57% AF 29% VF 15% Finale 6% WM 2%

10. Ecuador

1. 51% 2. 45% 3. 3% ZR 67% AF 28% VF 15% Finale 6% WM 2%

11. Germany

1. 48% 2. 48% 3. 4% ZR 64% AF 26% VF 14% Finale 5% WM 2%

12. Norway

1. 20% 2. 38% 3. 34% ZR 52% AF 27% VF 12% Finale 5% WM 2%

13. Japan

1. 36% 2. 39% 3. 19% ZR 46% AF 28% VF 11% Finale 4% WM 2%

14. Uruguay

1. 17% 2. 71% 3. 11% ZR 31% AF 19% VF 9% Finale 4% WM 1%

15. Switzerland

1. 47% 2. 32% 3. 20% ZR 61% AF 25% VF 8% Finale 3% WM 1%

16. Senegal

1. 16% 2. 33% 3. 40% ZR 45% AF 22% VF 9% Finale 3% WM 1%

17. Belgium

1. 68% 2. 22% 3. 7% ZR 62% AF 31% VF 7% Finale 3% WM 1%

18. Mexico

1. 65% 2. 26% 3. 7% ZR 62% AF 21% VF 8% Finale 2% WM 1%

19. Paraguay

1. 37% 2. 28% 3. 21% ZR 53% AF 20% VF 5% Finale 2%

20. Morocco

1. 21% 2. 39% 3. 31% ZR 30% AF 13% VF 4% Finale 1%

21. Bosnia and Herzegovina

1. 30% 2. 34% 3. 32% ZR 47% AF 15% VF 4% Finale 1%

22. Austria

1. 11% 2. 42% 3. 29% ZR 18% AF 9% VF 3% Finale 1%

23. Australia

1. 26% 2. 26% 3. 25% ZR 41% AF 13% VF 3% Finale 1%

24. Canada

1. 23% 2. 32% 3. 39% ZR 39% AF 11% VF 3% Finale 1%

25. Turkey

1. 22% 2. 25% 3. 27% ZR 37% AF 11% VF 2% Finale 1%

26. Scotland

1. 14% 2. 31% 3. 41% ZR 21% AF 8% VF 2% Finale 1%

27. USA

1. 15% 2. 21% 3. 27% ZR 27% AF 7% VF 1%

28. Panama

1. 7% 2. 21% 3. 55% ZR 16% AF 5% VF 1%

29. Czech Republic

1. 27% 2. 45% 3. 19% ZR 33% AF 7% VF 2%

30. Algeria

1. 4% 2. 26% 3. 36% ZR 10% AF 3% VF 1%

31. Sweden

1. 8% 2. 19% 3. 40% ZR 14% AF 5% VF 1%

32. Uzbekistan

1. 6% 2. 18% 3. 59% ZR 16% AF 3% VF 1%

33. Egypt

1. 21% 2. 40% 3. 26% ZR 28% AF 6% VF 1%

34. Jordan

1. 2% 2. 18% 3. 31% ZR 6% AF 2%

35. Tunisia

1. 3% 2. 11% 3. 29% ZR 5% AF 1%

36. New Zealand

1. 8% 2. 24% 3. 37% ZR 12% AF 2%

37. Iraq

2. 4% 3. 16% ZR 3% AF 1%

38. Saudi Arabia

2. 9% 3. 52% ZR 4% AF 1%

39. Haiti

1. 1% 2. 5% 3. 18% ZR 1%

40. Iran

1. 3% 2. 13% 3. 29% ZR 4%

41. Curaçao

2. 4% 3. 47% ZR 2%

42. South Africa

1. 4% 2. 16% 3. 39% ZR 4%

43. South Korea

1. 3% 2. 13% 3. 35% ZR 3%

44. Cape Verde

2. 4% 3. 37% ZR 2%

45. Ivory Coast

2. 4% 3. 46% ZR 2%

46. Ghana

2. 2% 3. 17%

47. DR Congo

2. 2% 3. 18% ZR 1%

48. Qatar

2. 1% 3. 9%

1. = Gruppensieger 2. = Gruppenzeiter 3. = Gruppendritter (pot.) ZR = Runde der 32 ueberstanden AF = Achtelfinale ueberstanden VF = Viertelfinale ueberstanden Finale = Finale erreicht WM = Weltmeister

2. South Africa

3. South Korea

4. Czech Republic